Algoma Steel Group Stock Performance
| ASTL Stock | 6.25 0.25 3.85% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Algoma Steel holds a performance score of 5. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.7, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Algoma Steel will likely underperform. Please check Algoma Steel's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Algoma Steel's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Algoma Steel Group are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very abnormal basic indicators, Algoma Steel displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0343 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.28 | Dividend Date 2025-05-30 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-05-13 |
1 | How Algoma Steel Group Inc. stock benefits from digital adoption - Trade Risk Summary Community Trade Idea Sharing - Newser | 12/04/2025 |
2 | Growth Value Will Algoma Steel Group Inc. stock benefit from MA activity - 2025 Earnings Surprises AI Powered Trade Plan Recommendations - moha.gov.vn | 12/29/2025 |
3 | Jefferies initiates hold rating on Algoma Steel as tariffs overshadow transforma - Investing.com | 01/02/2026 |
4 | Algoma Steel Group Maintained at Buy at Stifel Canada as It Updates 2026 Estimates Price Target Kept at C11.50 - MarketScreener | 01/09/2026 |
5 | Zacks Research Upgrades Algoma Steel Group to Strong-Buy - MarketBeat | 01/14/2026 |
6 | Institutional investors may adopt severe steps after Algoma Steel Group Inc.s latest 11 percent drop adds to a year losses - Yahoo Finance | 01/22/2026 |
7 | Assessing Algoma Steel Group Valuation After Hanwha Ocean Defense Agreement Spurs Fresh Interest - Sahm | 01/29/2026 |
8 | Do Options Traders Know Something About Algoma Steel Stock We Dont - Nasdaq | 02/10/2026 |
9 | MMCAP International Inc. SPC Has 28.72 Million Stake in Algoma Steel Group Inc. ASTL - MarketBeat | 02/23/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 251.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -272.2 M |
Algoma |
Algoma Steel Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 544.00 in Algoma Steel Group on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 81.00 from holding Algoma Steel Group or generate 14.89% return on investment over 90 days. Algoma Steel Group is generating 0.3238% of daily returns and assumes 4.3968% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 39% of stocks are less volatile than Algoma, and 94% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Algoma Steel Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Algoma Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.25 | 90 days | 6.25 | about 26.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Algoma Steel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.6 (This Algoma Steel Group probability density function shows the probability of Algoma Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Algoma Steel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Algoma Steel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Algoma Steel Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Algoma Steel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Algoma Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Algoma Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Algoma Steel Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Algoma Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Algoma Steel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Algoma Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Algoma Steel Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Algoma Steel Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (222.67 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (405.07 M). | |
| Algoma Steel generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: MMCAP International Inc. SPC Has 28.72 Million Stake in Algoma Steel Group Inc. ASTL - MarketBeat |
Algoma Steel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Algoma Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Algoma Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Algoma Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 267 M |
Algoma Steel Fundamentals Growth
Algoma Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Algoma Steel, and Algoma Steel fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Algoma Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.1 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0352 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.35) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.27) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.05 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 104.93 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.37 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.31 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.45 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | (405.07 M) | ||||
| EBITDA | (72.8 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (222.67 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 659.6 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 8.33 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (62.6 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.45) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 576.09 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 3.19 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 102 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 834 M | ||||
About Algoma Steel Performance
By examining Algoma Steel's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Algoma Steel's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Algoma Steel is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 112.39 | 72.13 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.06) | (0.06) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.10) | (0.09) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.06) | (0.06) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.17) | (0.16) |
Things to note about Algoma Steel Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Algoma Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Algoma Steel Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Algoma Steel Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (222.67 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (405.07 M). | |
| Algoma Steel generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: MMCAP International Inc. SPC Has 28.72 Million Stake in Algoma Steel Group Inc. ASTL - MarketBeat |
- Analyzing Algoma Steel's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Algoma Steel's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Algoma Steel's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Algoma Steel's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Algoma Steel's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Algoma Steel's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Algoma Steel's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Algoma Steel Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.